2026

78.- Herrera-Feijoo, R. J., Morales-Barbero, J., Torres, B., Mateo, R. G. (Under review) Integrating nested species distribution models and multicriteria prioritization into an open-access geoportal for tropical forest restoration. Preprint. Open Access.

77.- Morales-Barbero, J., Gómez-Rubio, V., Seoane, J., Adde, A., Goicolea, T., Mateo, R. G. (Under review) sabinaMBM: An R package for Multiscale Bayesian species distribution Modelling using INLA. Preprint. Open Access.

76.- Calleja, J. A., Mateo, R. G., Garilleti, R., Draper, I., Lara, F. (Under review) Transatlantic disjunctions and niche analysis in the Orthotrichum consimile complex. Perspectives in Plant Ecology, Evolution and Systematics. Open Access.

75.- Matas-Granados, L., Cayuela, L., Mateo, R. G., de Aledo, J. G., Saadi, C., Macía, M. (Under review) How should we identify dominant species? A multi-scale comparison of metrics in Amazonian forests. Journal of Vegetation Science. Open Access.

74.- Ramos-Gutiérrez, I., Acedo, C., Alfaro-Saiz, E., Arista, M., Arroyo, J., Guardiola, M., Jiménez-Mejías, P., Mateo, R. G., Mateo, G., Peralta, J., Pérez-Latorre, A. V., Romero-Zarco, C., Sáez, L., Salazar-Mendías, C., Serra-Laliga, L., Moreno-Saiz, J. C. (2026) AFLIBER v.2: Updating the Iberian database of vascular plant distributions. Mediterranean Botany 47: e106425. Open Access.

73.- Castillo-Almansa, E., Mateo, R. G., Galbany-Casals, M., Blanco-Gavaldà, C., Moreyra, L. D., Roquet, C., Brochmann, C., Gizaw, A., Chala, D., Susanna, A., Calleja, J. A. (2026) Climate change vulnerability of the Afrotemperate flora on Africa’s tropical sky islands. Biodiversity and Conservation 35: 232. Open Access.

72.- Lima, H., Morales-Barbero, J., Mateo, R. G., Morales-Castilla, I., Rodríguez, M. Á. (2026) sabinaHSBM: An R package for link prediction and network reconstruction using hierarchical stochastic block models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 17: 2285-2294. Open Access.

71.- García del Barrio, J. M., Guadaño-Peyrot, C., Grivet, D., Olsson, S., Barba, D., Auñón, F., Chacón-Moreno, E., Fernández-Pastor, M., Gaitán, E., Mateo, R. G., García-Pose, A., Hernández-Parada, A., Morales-Barbero, J., Paradinas-Blázquez, C., Prado-López, C., Rey-Benayas, J. M., Ribalaygua, J., Rodríguez-Ruiz, G., Royé, D., del Carre, M., Alía, R. (2026) Vulnerability to Climate Change of Forest Genetic Conservation Units Assessed Through Species Distribution Models. Land 15: 890. Open Access.

70.- Chacón-Moreno, E., Alía, R., Fernández-Pastor, M., Gaitán, E., García del Barrio, J. M., Mateo, R. G., García Pose, A., Grivet, D., Guadaño-Peyrot, C., Hernández-Parada, A., Morales-Barbero, J., Paradinas Blázquez, C., Prado López, C., Rey-Benayas, J. M., Ribalaygua, J., Rodríguez-Ruiz, G., Royé, D., Olsson, S., Carré Díaz, M. (2026) A framework for climate-resilient forest planning and restoration: advances linking species distribution modelling, genetic adaptation and future climate scenarios. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change 9: 1735354. Open Access.

69.- Carrió, E., Ibáñez, M. A., Mateo, R. G. (2026) Climate change reduces range overlap among congeneric plant species in the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands. Journal for Nature Conservation 92: 127287. Open Access.

68.- Goicolea, T., Morales-Barbero, J., García-Viñas, J. I., Gastón, A., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., Calleja, J. A., Moreno, J. C., Ramos-Gutiérrez, I., Rodríguez, M. Á., Lima, H., Broennimann, O., Guisan, A., Adde, A., Pérez-Latorre, A. V., Mateo, R. G. (2026) A unified plant ecology database for Spain. Scientific Data 13: 355. Open Access.

2025

67.- Chacón-Moreno, E., Gaitán Fernández, E., Hernández-Parada, A., Rodríguez-Ruiz, G., del Carre Díaz, M., Mateo, R. G., Fernández-Pastor, M., Ribalaygua Batalla, J. (2025) Climate-Resilient Biodiversity Refuges in Biosphere Reserves of the Cantabrian Cornice, Spain. In: National Parks and Protected Areas – Conservation, Biodiversity, and Climate Action, pp. 1-32. IntechOpen, London.

66.- Goicolea, T., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., García-Viñas, J. I., Saura, S., González, S., Mateo, R. G.*, Gastón, A.* (2025) Designing Conservation Networks to Ensure Connectivity in a Changing Climate: Application to Spanish Forests. Diversity and Distributions 31: e70068. Open Access.

65.- Guisan, A., Chevalier, M., Adde, A., Zarzo-Arias, A., Goicolea, T., Broennimann, O., Petitpierre, B., Scherrer, D., Rey, P.-L., Collart, F., Riva, F., Steen, B., Mateo, R. G. (2025) Spatially nested species distribution models (N-SDM): An effective tool to overcome niche truncation for more robust inference and projections. Journal of Ecology 113: 1588-1605. Open Access.

2024

64.- Mateo, R. G., Morales-Barbero, J., Zarzo-Arias, A., Lima, H., Gómez-Rubio, V., Goicolea, T. (2024) sabinaNSDM: an R package for spatially-nested hierarchical species distribution modeling. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 15: 1796-1803. Open Access.

63.- López-Tobar, R., Herrera-Feijoo, R. J., García-Robredo, F., Mateo, R. G., Torres, B. (2024) Timber harvesting and conservation status of forest species in the Ecuadorian Amazon. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change 7: 1389852. Open Access.

62.- Moudrý, V., Bazzichetto, M., Remelgado, R., Devillers, R., Lenoir, J., Mateo, R. G., Lembrechts, J. J., Sillero, N., Lecours, V., Cord, A. F., Barták, V., Balej, P., Rocchini, D., Torresani, M., Arenas-Castro, S., Man, M., Prajzlerová, D., Gdulová, K., Prošek, J., Marchetto, E., Zarzo-Arias, A., Gábor, L., Leroy, F., Martini, M., Malavasi, M., Cazzolla Gatti, R., Wild, J., Šímová, P. (2024) Optimising occurrence data in species distribution models: sample size, positional uncertainty, and sampling bias matter. Ecography e07294. Open Access.

61.- Jiménez-Mejías, P., Manzano, S., Gowda, V., …, Mateo, R. G., …, Fitzpatrick, M. (2024) Protecting stable biological nomenclatural systems enables universal communication: A collective international appeal. BioScience 74: 467-472.

60.- Goicolea, T., Adde, A., Broennimann, O., García-Viñas, J. I., Gastón, A., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., Guisan, A., Mateo, R. G. (2024) Spatially-nested hierarchical species distribution models to overcome niche truncation in national-scale studies. Ecography e07328. Open Access.

2023

59.- López-Tobar, R., Herrera-Feijoo, R. J., Mateo, R. G., García-Robredo, F., Torres, B. (2023) Botanical Collection Patterns and Conservation Categories of the Most Traded Timber Species from the Ecuadorian Amazon: The Role of Protected Areas. Plants 12: 3327. Open Access.

58.- Herrera-Feijoo, R. J., Torres, B., López-Tobar, R., Tipán-Torres, C., Toulkeridis, T., Heredia-R, M., Mateo, R. G. (2023) Modelling climatically suitable areas for Mahogany (Swietenia macrophylla King) and their shifts across Neotropics: the role of protected areas. Forests 14: 385. Open Access.

57.- Romo, H., García-Barros, E., Wilson, R. J., Mateo, R. G.*, Munguira, M. L.* (2023) Modelling the scope to conserve an endemic-rich mountain butterfly taxon in a changing climate. Insect Conservation and Diversity 16: 451-467. (Co-last authors)

56.- Fajardo, J., Lessmann, J., Devenish, C., Bonaccorso, E., Rojas-Runjaic, F. J. M., Rojas, H., Lentino, M., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Mateo, R. G. (2023) The performance of protected-area expansions in representing tropical Andean species: past trends and climate change prospects. Scientific Reports 13: 966. Open Access.

55.- Santamarina, S., Mateo, R. G.*, Alfaro Saiz, E., Acedo, C. (2023) On the importance of invasive species niche dynamics in plant conservation management at large and local scale. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 10: 1049142. Open Access.

54.- Agudo, A. B., Pico, X., Mateo, R. G., Arnald, M., Torices, R., Álvarez, I. (2023) Unravelling plant diversification: intraspecific genetic differentiation in hybridizing Anacyclus species in the western Mediterranean Basin. American Journal of Botany 110: e16121. Open Access.

53.- Carrillo-García, C., Girola-Iglesias, L., Guijarro, M., Hernando, C., Madrigal, J., Mateo, R. G. (2023) Ecological niche models applied to post-megafire vegetation restoration in the context of climate change. Science of the Total Environment 855: 158858. Request PDF.

2022

52.- Mateo, R. G., Arellano, G., Gómez-Rubio, V., Tello, J. S., Fuentes, A. F., Cayola, L., Loza, M. I., Cala, V., Macía, M. J. (2022) Insights on biodiversity drivers to predict species richness in tropical forests at the local scale. Ecological Modelling 473: 110133. Request PDF.

51.- Chevalier, M., Zarzo-Arias, A., Guélat, J., Mateo, R. G., Guisan, A. (2022) Accounting for niche truncation to improve spatial and temporal predictions of species distributions. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 10: 944116. Open Access. (Co-last authors)

50.- Hespanhol, H., Cezón, K., Muñoz, J., Mateo, R. G., Gonçalves, J. (2022) How vulnerable are bryophytes to climate change? Developing new Species and Community Vulnerability Indices. Ecological Indicators 136: 108643. Open Access.

49.- Goicolea, T., Mateo, R. G., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., Gastón, A., García-Viñas, J. I., Mateo-Sánchez, M. C. (2022) Considering plant functional connectivity in landscape conservation and restoration management. Biodiversity and Conservation 31: 1591-1608. Open Access.

2021

48.- Mestanza-Ramón, C., Herrera-Feijoo, R. J., Chicaiza-Ortiz, C., Domínguez-Gaibor, I., Mateo, R. G. (2021) Estimation of Current and Future Suitable Areas for Tapirus pinchaque in Ecuador. Sustainability 13: 11486. Open Access.

47.- Moreno-Saiz, J. C., Albertos, B., Ruiz-Molero, E., Mateo, R. G. (2021) The European Union can afford greater ambition in the conservation of its threatened plants. Biological Conservation 261: 109231. Open Access.

46.- Yin, M., Zhang, S., Du, X., Mateo, R. G., Guo, W., Li, A., Wang, Z., Wu, S., Chen, J., Liu, J., Ren, G. (2021) Genomic analysis of Medicago ruthenica provides insights into its tolerance to abiotic stress and demographic history. Molecular Ecology Resources 21: 1641-1657. Request PDF.

45.- Bello-Rodríguez, V., Mateo, R. G., Pellissier, L., Cubas, J., Cooke, B., González-Mancebo, J. M. (2021) Forecast increase in invasive rabbit spread into ecosystems of an oceanic island (Tenerife) under climate change. Ecological Applications 31: e02206. Request PDF.

2020

44.- Zanatta, F., Engler, R., Collart, F., Broennimann, O., Mateo, R. G., Papp, B., Muñoz, J., Baurain, D., Guisan, A., Vanderpoorten, A. (2020) Bryophytes are predicted to lag behind future climate change despite their high dispersal capacities. Nature Communications 11: 5601. Open Access.

43.- Ren, G., Mateo, R. G., Conti, E., Salamin, N. (2020) Population genetic structure and demographic history of Primula fasciculata in Southwest China. Frontiers in Plant Science 11: 986. Open Access.

2019

42.- Mateo, R. G., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., Gastón, A., Saura, S., García-Viñas, J. I. (2019) Looking for an optimal hierarchical approach for ecologically meaningful niche modelling. Ecological Modelling 409: 108735. Request PDF.

41.- Fajardo, J., Mateo, R. G., Felicísimo, A. M., Fernández-Alonso, J. L., Enquist, B., Vargas, P., Muñoz, J. (2019) The role of abiotic mechanisms of long-distance dispersal in the American origin of the Galápagos flora. Global Ecology and Biogeography 28: 1610-1620. Request PDF.

40.- Mateo, R. G., Gastón, A., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., Broennimann, O., Guisan, A., Saura, S., García-Viñas, J. I. (2019) Hierarchical species distribution models in support of vegetation conservation at the landscape scale. Journal of Vegetation Science 30: 386-396. Request PDF.

39.- Guisan, A., Broennimann, O., Buri, A., Cianfrani, C., D’Amen, M., Di Cola, V., Fernandes, R., Gray, S. M., Mateo, R. G., Pinto, E., Pradervand, J.-N., Scherrer, D., Vittoz, P., von Däniken, I., Yashiro, E. (2019) Climate Change Impacts on Mountain Biodiversity. In: Biodiversity and Climate Change, edited by T. Lovejoy & L. Hannah. Yale University Press.

2018

38.- Scherrer, D., D’Amen, M., Fernandes, R. F., Mateo, R. G., Guisan, A. (2018) How to best threshold and validate stacked species assemblages? Community optimisation might hold the answer. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 9: 2155-2166. Request PDF.

37.- Ren, G., Mateo, R. G., Guisan, A., Conti, E., Salamin, N. (2018) Species divergence and maintenance of species cohesion of three closely related Primula species in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Journal of Biogeography 45: 2495-2507. Request PDF. It has been recognized as a top 20 most read paper in Journal of Biogeography in 2017-2018.

36.- Mateo, R. G., Gastón, A., Aroca-Fernández, M. J., García-Viñas, J. I., Saura, S. (2018) Optimization of forest sampling strategies for woody plant species distribution modelling at the landscape scale. Forest Ecology and Management 410: 104-113. Request PDF.

35.- D’Amen, M.*, Mateo, R. G.*, Pottier, J., Thuiller, W., Maiorano, L., Dubuis, A., Pellissier, L., Ndiribe, C., Salamin, N., Guisan, A. (2018) Improving spatial predictions of taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic diversity. Journal of Ecology 106: 76-86. Request PDF. (*Co-first authors)

2017

34.- Mateo, R. G., Mokany, K., Guisan, A. (2017) Biodiversity models: what if unsaturation is the rule? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 32: 556-566. Open Access.

33.- Di Cola, V., Broennimann, O., Petitpierre, B., Breiner, F., D’Amen, M., Randin, C., Engler, R., Pottier, J., Pio, D., Dubuis, A., Pellissier, L., Mateo, R. G., Hordijk, W., Salamin, N., Guisan, A. (2017) ecospat: an R package to support spatial analyses and modelling of species niches and distributions. Ecography 40: 774-787. Request PDF.

32.- D’Amen, M., Mateo, R. G., Guisan, A. (2017) Species Assemblages, Macroecology, and Global Change. In: Reference Module in Life Sciences. Elsevier.

31.- Ren, G., Mateo, R. G., Suchan, T., Alvarez, N., Guisan, A., Liu, J., Conti, E., Salamin, N. (2017) Genetic consequences of Quaternary climatic oscillations in the Himalayas: Primula tibetica as a case study based on restriction site-associated DNA sequencing. New Phytologist 213: 1500-1512. Request PDF.

2016

30.- Patiño, J.*, Mateo, R. G.*, Zanatta, F., Marquet, A., Aranda, S., Borges, P., Dirkse, G., Gabriel, R., González-Mancebo, J. M., Guisan, A., Muñoz, J., Ruas, S., Sim-Sim, M., Vanderpoorten, A. (2016) Climate threat on the Macaronesian endemic bryophyte flora. Scientific Reports 6: 29156. Open Access. (*Co-first authors)

29.- Mateo, R. G., Broennimann, O., Normand, S., Petitpierre, B., Araújo, M. B., Svenning, J.-C., Baselga, A., Luoto, M., Fernández, F., Gómez-Rubio, V., Muñoz, J., Suarez, G. M., Laenen, B., Désamoré, A., Guisan, A., Vanderpoorten, A. (2016) The mossy North: an inverse latitudinal diversity gradient in European bryophytes. Scientific Reports 6: 25546. Open Access.

2015

28.- Hespanhol, H., Cezón, K., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Mateo, R. G. (2015) How to describe species richness patterns for bryophyte conservation. Ecology and Evolution 5: 5443-5455. Open Access.

27.- Moreno-Amat, E., Mateo, R. G., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Morueta-Holme, N., Svenning, J.-C., García-Amorena, I. (2015) Impact of model complexity on cross-temporal transferability in Maxent species distribution models: An assessment using paleobotanical data. Ecological Modelling 312: 308-317. Request PDF.

26.- Patiño, J., Carine, M., Mardulyn, P., Devos, N., Mateo, R. G., González-Mancebo, J. M., Shaw, A. J., Vanderpoorten, A. (2015) Approximate Bayesian computation reveals the crucial role of oceanic islands for the assembly of continental biodiversity. Systematic Biology 64: 579-589. Request PDF.

25.- Mateo, R. G., Broennimann, O., Petitpierre, B., Muñoz, J., van Rooy, J., Laenen, B., Guisan, A., Vanderpoorten, A. (2015) What is the potential of spread in invasive bryophytes? Ecography 38: 480-487. Request PDF.

2014

24.- Varela, S., Mateo, R. G., García-Valdés, R., Fernández-González, F. (2014) Macroecología y ecoinformática: sesgos, errores y predicciones en el modelado de distribuciones. Ecosistemas 23: 46-53. Open Access.

23.- Vanderpoorten, A., Mateo, R. G., Sim-Sim, M., Ruas, S., Dirkse, G. M., Gabriel, R., Borges, P. A. V., González-Mancebo, J. M., Calvo, S., Patiño, J. (2014) The moss Homalothecium mandonii as a model for assessing bryophyte response to climate change in Macaronesia. Silva Lusitana Nº Especial: 1-13.

2013

22.- Mateo, R. G., de la Estrella, M., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Guisan, A. (2013) A new spin on a compositionalist predictive modelling framework for conservation planning: A tropical case study in Ecuador. Biological Conservation 160: 150-161. Request PDF.

21.- Mateo, R. G., Vanderpoorten, A., Muñoz, J., Laenen, B., Désamoré, A. (2013) Modeling species distributions from heterogeneous data for the biogeographic regionalization of the European bryophyte flora. PLoS ONE 8: e55648. Open Access.

20.- Patiño, J., Medina, R., Vanderpoorten, A., González-Mancebo, J. M., Werner, O., Devos, N., Mateo, R. G., Lara, F., Ros, R. M. (2013) Origin and fate of the single-island endemic moss Orthotrichum handiense. Journal of Biogeography 40: 857-868. Request PDF.

2012

19.- Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Mateo, R. G., Mateos, C. (2012) FORCLIM, Bosques y cambio global. 3. España – México. Programa CYTED. 318 pp.

18.- Felicísimo, Á. M., Mateo, R. G., Muñoz, J., Felipe, B., Sánchez, J., Salvatierra, H. C., Herrera, M. M. (2012) FORCLIM, Bosques y cambio global. 1. Modelos de distribución de especies. Fundamentos de las IDE. Argentina. Programa CYTED. 111 pp.

17.- de la Estrella, M., Mateo, R. G., Wieringa, J. J., Mackinder, B., Muñoz, J. (2012) Legume diversity patterns in West Central Africa: influence of species biology on distribution models. PLoS ONE 7: e41526. Open Access.

16.- Désamoré, A., Laenen, B., Stech, M., Papp, B., Hedenäs, L., Mateo, R. G., Vanderpoorten, A. (2012) How do temperate bryophytes face the challenge of a changing environment? Lessons from the past and predictions for the future. Global Change Biology 18: 2915-2924. Request PDF.

15.- Mateo, R. G., Felicísimo, Á. M., Pottier, J., Guisan, A., Muñoz, J. (2012) Do stacked species distribution models reflect altitudinal diversity patterns? PLoS ONE 7: e32586. Open Access.

14.- Mateo, R. G., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J. (2012) Modelos de distribución de especies y su potencialidad como recurso educativo interdisciplinar. Reduca 5: 137-150. Open Access.

13.- Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Mateo, R. G., Villalba, C. (2012) Vulnerabilidad de la flora y vegetación españolas ante el cambio climático. Ecosistemas 21: 1-6. Open Access.

2011

12.- Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Villalba, C., Mateo, R. G. (2011) Impactos, vulnerabilidad y adaptación al cambio climático de la biodiversidad española. 2. Flora y vegetación. Oficina Española de Cambio Climático, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural y Marino. 560 pp.

11.- Mateo, R. G., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J. (2011) Species distributions models: A synthetic revision. Revista Chilena de Historia Natural 84: 217-240. Open Access.

10.- Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J., Villalba, C., Mateo, R. G. (2011) Impactos del cambio climático sobre la flora española. Conservación Vegetal 15: 6-10. Request PDF.

2010

9.- Mateo, R. G., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J. (2010) Effects of the number of presences on reliability and stability of MARS species distribution models: the importance of regional niche variation and ecological heterogeneity. Journal of Vegetation Science 21: 908-922. Request PDF.

8.- Mateo, R. G., Croat, T. B., Felicísimo, Á. M., Muñoz, J. (2010) Profile or group discriminative techniques? Generating reliable species distribution models using pseudo-absences and target-group absences from natural history collections. Diversity and Distributions 16: 84-94. Request PDF.

7.- Morales, C., Mateo, R. G. (2010) Simethis Mattiazzi (Vandelli) G. López & C.E. Jarvis, nueva especie para la flora de Castilla-La Mancha (España). Acta Botanica Malacitana 35: 128-130. Request PDF.

6.- Urbieta, I. R., Zavala, G., Mateo, R. G., Moreno, J. M. (2010) Presiones de los incendios forestales sobre la biodiversidad. In: Biodiversidad en España. Base de la sostenibilidad ante el cambio global, pp. 211-220. Observatorio de la Sostenibilidad en España.

2009

5.- Sanz-Elorza, M., Mateo, R. G., Bernardo, F. G. (2009) The historical role of agriculture and gardening in the introduction of alien plants in the western Mediterranean. Plant Ecology 202: 247-256. Request PDF.

4.- Mateo, R. G., Pajarón, S. (2009) Flora y vegetación de la Sierra de San Vicente. Diputación de Toledo. 263 pp.

2007

3.- Felicísimo, Á. M., Gómez-Muñoz, A., Muñoz, J., Delgado, T., Mateo, R. G. (2007) Impacto del cambio climático en la biodiversidad: el caso de Ecuador. Mapping 115: 73-76. Request PDF.

2.- González Mancebo, J. M., Albertos, B., Barrón, A., Cezón, K., Cros, R. M., Draper, I., Estébanez, B., Garilleti, R., Hallingbäck, T., Hernández Maqueda, R., Lara, F., Losada Lima, A., Mateo, R. G., Mazimpaka, V., Muñoz, J., Medina, R., Medina, N. G., Patiño, J., Puche, F., Rams, S., Ros Espín, R. M., Ruiz, E. (2007) Bryophytes collected by the Spanish Bryological Society during a field trip at La Gomera (Canary Islands). Boletín de la Sociedad Española de Briología 30-31: 43-52.

2004

1.- Mateo, R. G., Pajarón, S. (2004) Some plants of chorological interest in the Sierra de San Vicente area (Toledo, Spain). Botanica Complutensis 28: 79-83. Open Access.